Tuesday, May 18, 2010

After Sibu victory, PR heading towards Sarawak State Election

After seeing DAP wins the Sibu by election, I have a feeling that SUPP will start to lose support in Chinese dominated constituencies. I bet that SUPP will not be able to race back Sibu in the next state and parliament elections. The victory in Sibu are still a main topic in most coffeeshops. Enough is enough for SUPP's unfulfilled promises. Even God has given hint by sending flood in Sibu on polling day to show SUPP's failure to solve the people's problems such as drainage systems.

Chinese have been waken in this sleepy town. SUPP in Sarikei, Miri and Kuching will be next. I'm not surprise if Ah Chan, Soon Koh and most of their armies lose in the next state election.

Slowly, Dayaks will also swing their votes to PR if the right strategies are planned to woe them against the "lucrative" wealth promised by BN. Remember not long ago government has mega plan to build 12 new dams in upstreams of rivers in Sarawak. The various social, poverty and land issues resulting conflicts between cronies of "Pak Moh" and local natives are enough to strategize in PR electoral plan. With new coalition from a Dayak party in PR hoefully will lay a smoother line to engage the natives especially in suburb and rural area.

Taib will not step down now and pass the baton to Jabu or Abg Johari because it's going to instabilize BN harder which might lead to leadership crisis. Taib is another Sami Vellu, whose party is now thirsty of new charismatic leader due to their "stuck ass syndrome". The situation in Sarawak BN will be more difficult now. SUPP is going to be humiliated in their constituencies. Under Taib, PBB might still get their backup from Melanaus and Malays votes in their legacy constituencies. Chinese and Dayaks votes are not significant there. With the internal problems faced by PKR and unpopular PAS in Sarawak, their chances to change the political scenario here is closed to null. Thanks to Taib's effort in developing these places. At least he knows how to protect his rice bowl first.

Overall, lets take out the weaken SUPP by focusing on Dayaks constituencies. If Chinese and Dayaks votes increase in next state election, then PR should be able to garner more seats from the Central and North Sarawak. DAP are getting stronger now, but other coalitions in PR should study and workout the right strategies to penetrate the other strongholds of BN. My hope is that more than 1/3 of Sarawak State Assembly will be filled with PR ADUNs.

No comments: